{"id":11028,"date":"2020-05-05T11:38:45","date_gmt":"2020-05-05T14:38:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cofecon.org.br\/?p=11028"},"modified":"2020-05-05T11:38:45","modified_gmt":"2020-05-05T14:38:45","slug":"artigo-covid-19-e-a-economia-brasileira","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/?p=11028","title":{"rendered":"Artigo – Co\u00advid-19 e a eco\u00adno\u00admia bra\u00adsi\u00adlei\u00adra"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\"\"Por Antonio Corr\u00eaa de Lacerda – Professor-doutor, diretor da FEAPUC-SP, presidente do Conselho Federal de Economia (Cofecon), publicou recentemente “O mito da austeridade” (Editora Contracorrente). Site: www.aclacerda.com\u00a0<\/p>\n

Artigo publicado no jornal O Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo em 05 de maio de 2020.<\/p>\n

Pa\u00adra fa\u00adzer fren\u00adte aos gas\u00adtos ne\u00adces\u00ads\u00e1\u00adri\u00ados, se\u00adr\u00e1 pre\u00adci\u00adso am\u00adpli\u00adar a emis\u00ads\u00e3o mo\u00adne\u00adt\u00e1\u00adria e a d\u00ed\u00advi\u00adda p\u00fa\u00adbli\u00adca. A pan\u00adde\u00admia de Co\u00advid-19, al\u00e9m de imen\u00adso fla\u00adge\u00adlo hu\u00adma\u00adno e so\u00adci\u00adal pa\u00adra o mun\u00addo to\u00addo, tam\u00adb\u00e9m traz con\u00adsequ\u00ean\u00adci\u00adas gra\u00adv\u00eds\u00adsi\u00admas pa\u00adra a eco\u00adno\u00admia mun\u00addi\u00adal, ge\u00adran\u00addo uma re\u00adces\u00ads\u00e3o cu\u00adja profundidade vai de\u00adpen\u00adder da ex\u00adten\u00ads\u00e3o e da mag\u00adni\u00adtu\u00adde dos seus efei\u00adtos.<\/p>\n

O im\u00adpac\u00adto na atividade econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adca no Bra\u00adsil de\u00adve\u00adr\u00e1 im\u00adpli\u00adcar uma con\u00adtra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o do Pro\u00addu\u00adto In\u00adter\u00adno Bru\u00adto (PIB) da or\u00addem de pe\u00adlo menos 5%. Tu\u00addo vai de\u00adpen\u00adder, al\u00e9m da ex\u00adten\u00ads\u00e3o da pan\u00adde\u00admia, prin\u00adci\u00adpal\u00admen\u00adte, da ou\u00adsa\u00addia, agi\u00adli\u00adda\u00adde e efi\u00adc\u00e1\u00adcia na ado\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de po\u00adl\u00ed\u00adti\u00adcas e me\u00addi\u00addas em con\u00adtra\u00adpon\u00adto \u00e0 cri\u00adse.
Nes\u00adse sen\u00adti\u00addo, al\u00adguns as\u00adpec\u00adtos de\u00advem ser con\u00adsi\u00adde\u00adra\u00addos, es\u00adpe\u00adci\u00adal\u00admen\u00adte que bem an\u00adtes da si\u00adtu\u00ada\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o re\u00adcen\u00adte a nos\u00adsa eco\u00adno\u00admia j\u00e1 vi\u00adnha apre\u00adsen\u00adtan\u00addo um qua\u00addro con\u00adti\u00adnu\u00ada\u00addo de es\u00adtag\u00adna\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o. No acu\u00admu\u00adla\u00addo 2017-2019, o PIB per ca\u00adpi\u00adta n\u00e3o cres\u00adceu mais do que ape\u00adnas 0,3% ao ano, de\u00adpois da qu\u00ade\u00adda de 6% acu\u00admu\u00adla\u00adda em 2015-2016. E os in\u00adves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adtos, me\u00addi\u00addos pe\u00adla For\u00adma\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o Bru\u00adta de Ca\u00adpi\u00adtal Fi\u00adxo, es\u00adt\u00e3o num n\u00ed\u00advel cer\u00adca de 25% in\u00adfe\u00adri\u00ador ao de 2014.<\/p>\n

O au\u00admen\u00adto da nos\u00adsa de\u00adpen\u00add\u00ean\u00adcia de pro\u00addu\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o e ex\u00adpor\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de com\u00admo\u00addi\u00adti\u00ades, ou de pro\u00addu\u00adtos de bai\u00adxa com\u00adple\u00adxi\u00adda\u00adde e va\u00adlor agre\u00adga\u00addo, nos pe\u00adga em cheio na atu\u00adal cri\u00adse, por\u00adque h\u00e1 n\u00e3o s\u00f3 uma qu\u00ade\u00adda da de\u00adman\u00adda in\u00adter\u00adna\u00adci\u00ado\u00adnal, mas tam\u00adb\u00e9m dos pre\u00ad\u00e7os. Es\u00adpe\u00adci\u00adal\u00admen\u00adte pe\u00adtr\u00f3\u00adleo bru\u00adto, mi\u00adn\u00e9\u00adrio de fer\u00adro e pro\u00addu\u00adtos si\u00adde\u00adr\u00far\u00adgi\u00adcos ex\u00adpe\u00adri\u00admen\u00adtam for\u00adtes que\u00addas de co\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Al\u00e9m dis\u00adso, tam\u00adb\u00e9m nos tor\u00adna\u00admos de\u00adpen\u00adden\u00adtes de par\u00adtes e com\u00adpo\u00adnen\u00adtes pro\u00addu\u00adzi\u00addos em re\u00adgi\u00f5es da Chi\u00adna que t\u00eam si\u00addo for\u00adte\u00admen\u00adte afe\u00adta\u00addas, pre\u00adju\u00addi\u00adcan\u00addo a pro\u00addu\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o bra\u00adsi\u00adlei\u00adra. O au\u00admen\u00adto da in\u00adcer\u00adte\u00adza exa\u00adcer\u00adba a vo\u00adla\u00adti\u00adli\u00adda\u00adde dos mer\u00adca\u00addos, com im\u00adpac\u00adtos nos ju\u00adros, no c\u00e2m\u00adbio e nas bol\u00adsas. A cri\u00adse tam\u00adb\u00e9m vem pro\u00advo\u00adcan\u00addo qu\u00ade\u00adda de re\u00adcei\u00adta das em\u00adpre\u00adsas ex\u00adpor\u00adta\u00addo\u00adras. Es\u00adses efei\u00adtos com\u00adbi\u00adna\u00addos pro\u00admo\u00advem uma pos\u00adter\u00adga\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o ou mes\u00admo can\u00adce\u00adla\u00admen\u00adto de no\u00advos pro\u00adje\u00adtos, in\u00adves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adtos e con\u00adtra\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es, apro\u00adfun\u00addan\u00addo a con\u00adtra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Di\u00adan\u00adte des\u00adte qua\u00addro, a ado\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de um con\u00adjun\u00adto de po\u00adl\u00ed\u00adti\u00adcas e me\u00addi\u00addas an\u00adti\u00adc\u00ed\u00adcli\u00adcas pe\u00adlo Es\u00adta\u00addo se mos\u00adtra im\u00adpres\u00adcin\u00add\u00ed\u00advel. Pa\u00adra o Bra\u00adsil, es\u00adpe\u00adci\u00adal\u00admen\u00adte, por cau\u00adsa da nos\u00adsa ex\u00adtre\u00adma de\u00adsi\u00adgual\u00adda\u00adde re\u00adgi\u00ado\u00adnal e de ren\u00adda, al\u00e9m da vul\u00adne\u00adra\u00adbi\u00adli\u00adda\u00adde de mi\u00adlh\u00f5es de ci\u00adda\u00add\u00e3os, es\u00adsas me\u00addi\u00addas s\u00e3o ain\u00adda mais cru\u00adci\u00adais.<\/p>\n

O pri\u00admei\u00adro as\u00adpec\u00adto \u00e9 que \u00e9 pre\u00adci\u00adso ga\u00adran\u00adtir re\u00adcur\u00adsos pa\u00adra am\u00adpli\u00adar a ca\u00adpa\u00adci\u00adda\u00adde de aten\u00addi\u00admen\u00adto da sa\u00fa\u00adde. O avan\u00ad\u00e7o da pan\u00adde\u00admia nos exi\u00adgi\u00adr\u00e1 um es\u00adfor\u00ad\u00e7o ex\u00adtra\u00ador\u00addi\u00adn\u00e1\u00adrio pa\u00adra re\u00addu\u00adzir a mor\u00adta\u00adli\u00adda\u00adde.<\/p>\n

Tam\u00adb\u00e9m \u00e9 fun\u00adda\u00admen\u00adtal que o pro\u00adgra\u00adma com\u00adple\u00admen\u00adtar de ren\u00adda b\u00e1\u00adsi\u00adca che\u00adgue ra\u00adpi\u00adda\u00admen\u00adte \u00e0 par\u00adce\u00adla da nos\u00adsa po\u00adpu\u00adla\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o mais ex\u00adpos\u00adta, co\u00admo os em si\u00adtu\u00ada\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de rua, os tra\u00adba\u00adlha\u00addo\u00adres in\u00adfor\u00admais e os de\u00adsem\u00adpre\u00adga\u00addos num sen\u00adti\u00addo am\u00adplo.<\/p>\n

H\u00e1 es\u00adpa\u00ad\u00e7o pa\u00adra re\u00addu\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o adi\u00adci\u00ado\u00adnal da ta\u00adxa b\u00e1\u00adsi\u00adca de ju\u00adros da eco\u00adno\u00admia (Se\u00adlic). A reu\u00adni\u00e3o do Co\u00admi\u00adt\u00ea de Po\u00adl\u00ed\u00adti\u00adca Mo\u00adne\u00adt\u00e1\u00adria (Co\u00adpom) que ocor\u00adre ho\u00adje e ama\u00adnh\u00e3 de\u00adve\u00adria apro\u00advei\u00adtar a opor\u00adtu\u00adni\u00adda\u00adde e pro\u00admo\u00adver uma re\u00addu\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o subs\u00adtan\u00adci\u00adal.<\/p>\n

Tor\u00adna-se, ain\u00adda, fun\u00adda\u00admen\u00adtal am\u00adpli\u00adar o cr\u00e9\u00addi\u00adto e o fi\u00adnan\u00adci\u00ada\u00admen\u00adto pa\u00adra as em\u00adpre\u00adsas e fa\u00adm\u00ed\u00adli\u00adas, mas em con\u00addi\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es bem mais favor\u00e1veis que as atu\u00adais.
As po\u00adl\u00ed\u00adti\u00adcas a se\u00adrem ado\u00adta\u00addas im\u00adpli\u00adcam um cus\u00adto da or\u00addem de R$ 700 bi\u00adlh\u00f5es (10% do PIB) ao ano. N\u00e3o h\u00e1, ob\u00advi\u00ada\u00admen\u00adte, es\u00adpa\u00ad\u00e7o pa\u00adra is\u00adso no Or\u00ad\u00e7a\u00admen\u00adto, e se\u00adr\u00e1 pre\u00adci\u00adso am\u00adpli\u00adar a emis\u00ads\u00e3o mo\u00adne\u00adt\u00e1\u00adria e a d\u00ed\u00advi\u00adda p\u00fa\u00adbli\u00adca pa\u00adra fa\u00adzer fren\u00adte aos gas\u00adtos. \u00c9 um mon\u00adtan\u00adte ex\u00adpres\u00adsi\u00advo, mas n\u00e3o fa\u00adz\u00ea-lo sig\u00adni\u00adfi\u00adca\u00adria um cus\u00adto econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adco e so\u00adci\u00adal mui\u00adto mais al\u00adto, por cau\u00adsa do apro\u00adfun\u00adda\u00admen\u00adto da de\u00adpres\u00ads\u00e3o e seus efei\u00adtos, co\u00admo a que\u00adbra de em\u00adpre\u00adsas, au\u00admen\u00adto do de\u00adsem\u00adpre\u00adgo e co\u00adlap\u00adso da ren\u00adda e, tam\u00adb\u00e9m, da ar\u00adre\u00adca\u00adda\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o tri\u00adbu\u00adt\u00e1\u00adria, ge\u00adran\u00addo for\u00adte im\u00adpac\u00adto fis\u00adcal ne\u00adga\u00adti\u00advo.<\/p>\n

En\u00adfren\u00adtar a cri\u00adse exi\u00adge rom\u00adper pa\u00adra\u00addig\u00admas, o que, jun\u00adto com uma boa ges\u00adt\u00e3o, se\u00adr\u00e1 de\u00adter\u00admi\u00adnan\u00adte pa\u00adra ame\u00adni\u00adzar os seus efei\u00adtos. A opor\u00adtu\u00adni\u00adda\u00adde que se apre\u00adsen\u00adta \u00e9 apro\u00advei\u00adtar a des\u00adva\u00adlo\u00adri\u00adza\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o do re\u00adal pa\u00adra cri\u00adar pro\u00adgra\u00admas de es\u00adt\u00ed\u00admu\u00adlo \u00e0 rein\u00addus\u00adtri\u00ada\u00adli\u00adza\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o\/re\u00adcon\u00adver\u00ads\u00e3o pro\u00addu\u00adti\u00adva pa\u00adra su\u00adprir nos\u00adsas ne\u00adces\u00adsi\u00adda\u00addes e tam\u00adb\u00e9m cri\u00adar mais opor\u00adtu\u00adni\u00adda\u00addes de em\u00adpre\u00adgo e ren\u00adda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11030,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11028","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-acoes-da-presidencia-lacerda","category-artigo"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11028"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11028"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11028\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11030"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11028"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11028"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofecon.org.br\/cofecon\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11028"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}